- gilbetron1.7x more bugs, not great, not terrible
- Absolutely. I missed the punch card days, but have been here for the rest, and software quality is way higher (overall) than it used to be.
- He didn't cause that, he is just riding the wave. The call to ban them has been going on for years, it was just put on pause during the pandemic.
- A bit taller, but generally not bigger. Most pickups have gotten insanely huge.
- Well, money is power, so wealth inequality is power inequality. Those 100x wealthy people will have 100x (or more) the power, and people with power like that like to do bad things to those that don't have it.
See, it isn't about having stuff, it is about having power over people. That's why inequality is horrible.
- My favorite explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vitf8YaVXhc
- Taco Bell by us has AI order taking and it is amazing. Quick, always has been getting it correct, and easy to understand. Granted, it's probably very abusable, but for someone just wanting to put in a quick order it is way better than a person.
- I call it the "Persistent Incompetence of Software Development", which is another perspective on estimation, focused more on expertise. A chef that cooks pizzas, cooks the same pizza over and over again and becomes amazing at it. If you are a developer that writes the same code over and over, you are terrible at software development. A good software developer should always be solving new problems, as by the nature of software, once they solve a problem, they never solve that (exact) problem again. So we are persistently incompenent.
Which is why software development can't be estimated, as well. Because it is all, as you say, novel. With infinite error bars.
At this point, I can't take anyone seriously that believes software dev can be estimated.
- You may know the mechanics, but you don't know how LLMs "work" because no one really understands (yet, hopefully).
- What simple method would you use instead? It is effective to have such comparisons for quick communication of the relative size of things.
- https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/features/certificates-public...
Lack of health care records interoperability (locks patients into a system).
Much of the well-intended regulation around healthcare ends up getting perverted to prevent competition.
- You assume that there is any meaningful competition. What we are seeing, across industries including education, is a type of indirect collusion that is keeping prices crazy, not competition. Over regulation is a big piece of what enables all this.
- > Any conscious agent, textual or physical, has to inhabit a world whose structure is stable, self-consistent, and rich enough to support persistent internal dynamics.
Why? How do we know that? Seems like a made up requirement without proof, because we can't prove anything about consciousness because we don't know what it is.
- > auto mechanics make double minimum wage if they don't own their tools (so they can go buy some)
I think you have that backwards:
"Typically, in California, if your employer wants you to provide and maintain your own work tools, they must pay you at least double the minimum wage. This means that in 2025, with California’s minimum wage at $16.50 per hour, your employer must pay you at least $33.00 per hour before they can require you to supply your own tools."
Auto mechanics make double minimum wage if the do own their own tools.
- I've found an anecdotal correlation that the (relatively few) people that have moralized at me about returning shopping carts also tend to dislike self-checkout at the same stores. I guess it is immoral to have someone return your cart, but moral to have someone scan your groceries? I generally don't return my cart, but I mostly self-checkout. I'm pure evil apparently.
- The pandemic induced the major change. Schools were forced to put everything online, and so screens became the default learning environment. What's the difference between them being on a laptop/chromebook/tablet and a phone? Not really that much. Plus parents allowed their kids get phones at a younger age to keep track of them. Now we are trying to claw it back, but the big problem is that the parents are the ones preventing it. They need to be constantly attached to their kids. Our son is 16 and while he loves screens, he also is enjoying kids spending less time on them at school so he can chat with people more.
- The paper is yet another in a long line of, "humans are special, computers can't replicate them". Such thinking has been a part of the fields for decades and decades, I had arguments about them when I was in college with my professors (such as John Holland, "creator" of genetic algorithms). That's the whole reason LLMs are so interesting, they are the first time we've captured something very much like thinking and reasoning. It can do many of the things long thought to be the sole purview of humans. That's why anyone that knows anything about the field of AI is astonished by them.
The "intellectual e-waste from Silicon Valley" has produced something amazing, the likes of which we've never seen. (Built on decades of curious people in the AI, neuroscience, computer science, and other fields, of course).
- This is one of the least curious posts I've seen on HN. We have been thinking about thinking for millenia, and no, Buddhists don't have it figure out. Nobody does. LLMs are the most significant advancement in "thinking science" in a long, long time. It is clear that they are doing something a lot like thinking, if it is not thinking. They seem to think more than most people I know, including the person I'm responding to.
I think people conflate thinking with sentience, consciousness, and a whole lot of other concerns.
Clearly this website is not for you and your complete lack of curiosity if you call us "sicko freaks".
- This is Trump, when he says, "test", he wants to see mushroom clouds.
- > I have come to understand that there are two kinds of people, those who do things only if it helps them achieve a goal, and those who do things just because.
There are two kinds of people, those that think it is clever to split people into just two groups, and everyone else.