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Okay but like, I'm not planning on committing a crime and nothing I do now is considered criminal, but let's play out the worst case scenario and a fascist government comes to power and something I do now is considered criminal and they can place me doing it with this DNA that as the author describes can narrow down if it was me pretty easily.

You can tell me I'm paranoid or something, but I can also just not give them my DNA for no effort and be all the more better off if something like this happens OR if I do commit a crime under current laws I haven't given up the ghost immediately.

This feels like short term little gain for catastrophic effects in the worst case scenario.

The author also makes this like a weird dichotomy with online tracking, I ALSO care about being tracked on the internet and my personal privacy is pretty important to me in general.

I want all of my privacy, or better worded I want privacy to be my choice such as here on HN where I use my real name intentionally. :)


For those still doubting, this is not a hypothetical case.

In the Netherlands, in the early 30's we had a census. All the good jewish citizens of the good kingdom of the Netherlands filled in their religion. Because, why shouldn't they? Fast forward a couple of years, and those detailed census results are really handy for the occupying nazis.

During WW II, 95% of the jewish in the Netherlands were killed. Compare this with a country that does not have a central register of it's citizens (France), where "only" 25% of the jewish were killed.

Also, when you give up your DNA, you're not just giving it up for you. You're giving it up for your family.

The exact same thing happened in Hungary (sort of, we can't blame it all on the nazis, Hungarians did it enthusiastically themselves). They used the census data of 1920 and 1930 (but not declaring your religion and ethnicity was illegal) in the numerus clausus acts and then in the mass killings and holocaust (600k of 850k). But after the 2nd ww, they used the same census data against the German minority as well, to evict them and move them en masse to Germany.
Okay, but the Jews were already being regularly persecuted for actual millennia at that point, and this was in... the 1930s, with a very different geopolitical situation. On the other hand, I doubt GP has any real reason to fear imminent ethnic persecution. We can and should take our best guess as to the likelihood of catastrophic events into account in our cost/benefit analysis, surely?
> I doubt GP has any real reason to fear imminent ethnic persecution

Why do you doubt that given the very obvious ethnic persecution going on in the US right now against immigrants, especially Hispanics?

Like, okay, "Ian Butler" in particular doesn't sound terribly Hispanic, but I think that's splitting hairs on the larger point

Because they're not being deported for their Hispanicity. It's for their nationality, which happens to be highly correlated with ethnicity. Why else would US citizen Hispanics have voted in record numbers for the current President?

The admin is overplaying their hand with some shoddy tactics, and the more citizens they drag into the net, the more quickly they'll lose the popular opinion here.

> Why else would US citizen Hispanics have voted in record numbers for the current President?

Perhaps because they mistakenly thought he wouldn't do exactly what he said he would do, or that there would be checks & balances to make sure it wasn't too heavy-handed so they personally were not in danger. Now he is doing what he said he would do in that regard (even when accidentally saying the quiet bits out loud) many are somewhat surprised and concerned.

Oddly while not beleiving he would go all-in on the purge many did believe he would do what he said with respect to what they saw as good things (lowering prices, and taxes (for them), ending the Ukraine conflict, keeping America out of other conflicts particularly in the middle-east, releasing any and all Epstein information, …), and are aghast at those things not being carried through as promised on the campaign trail.

> I doubt GP has any real reason to fear imminent ethnic persecution

I don't know them but they could be gay, or have a gay friend, or be atheist or religious, or maybe they once visited Costa Rica as a tourist and Costa Rica becomes the next pariah state or whatever. They might have driven a friend to an abortion clinic in the past

The very point is that you can't predict what could become a problem for a hypothetical future authoritarian state. If you look at the worst examples in history it could be something as innocuous seeming today as writing a non-political book or having distant relations with the same people as some other "undesirable" person.

I am pretty sure, the people of Netherlands didn't count the chance of a nazi regime invading them in a few years as very high. The question is, is the marginal value that you are gaining from such services worth the risk, even if theoretical, at all. - I don't think so.
A decade ago, the idea that fairly light and frivolous social media discussion could be used as a reason to deport you from the bastion of free speech known as the USA was laughable. Now, it's reality.
Thing is, a fascist government probably isn't bother to use DNA to make sure they got the right guy. To them, if you look like a useful guy to blame, they'll blame you whether the evidence fits or not. The various "deterrence" effects of punishing wrongdoers don't really rely on the punished actually being guilty, it only relies on people thinking they're guilty.

You can see right now with the mass deportations, evidence and making a watertight case aren't priorities once you get to this point.

So I think the author's point stand, that there's little additional risk in some private company having your SNPs. The question is, is it worth it? I'd say, unless you (or a relative you want to help) are into genealogy, it's not worth it, even if the risk is small.

But genealogy is fun. It's also, I think, something that can be deeply meaningful for almost anyone.

Because, do you have all answers to what's important in life? Probably not, I hope? If you haven't, aren't you interested in what answers your own ancestors implicitly (through the lives they lived) gave to the big questions in life?

It's commonly said, "those who learn nothing from history are doomed to repeat it" etc. Might that not be true on an immediate, personal level too? History is more than grand politics, it's also the lives of normal people. And who could you learn most from, if not the people who are most similar to you?

That's my pitch for doing genealogy as a hobby... Now, it should be said, genetic genealogy is a pretty small part of genealogy, unless you're unfortunate with adoptions etc. in your family. Even for that, I'd say there are better options than 23andMe, I do not see personally have my SNP data there.

Point is, for all things, security is a trade-off, about which risks are worth it and for what gain.

It's not a "weird" dichotomy, it's a straight-up false dichotomy.

DNA is just one facet of all the data being actively collected by SuperMegaCorp and/or governments (or probably worst of all, both at the same time and in cooperation with each other).

DNA is also the only piece of data we all spread around without there being any practical security measure to prevent it.

(not entirely true because we also spread other biometric data, such as facial images)

Sure could have used stronger language here, I agree
I fully agree with your apprehensions, but the question is whether this can be prevented at all.

We shed DNA in useful, analyzable amounts wherever we go. In a decade or so, "collectors" of DNA from the air may sprout up everywhere, aggregating DNA of the passersby and sorting it into buckets using, say, face recognition. Even if such practice was limited to the airports, the databases will grow. People have to prove their identity when boarding flights, so pairing them with their DNA trace is feasible.

And if a country bans this practice, another may not, and their database may be hacked and sold openly, so any person which traveled there will be exposed.

The privacy argument might work in some Western countries, and the corresponding legislation may be enacted there, but once you have to travel to India or China or Dubai profesionally, the cat will be out of the bag.

> people have to prove their identity when boarding flights, so pairing them with their DNA trace is feasible

Feasible and present are entirely separate.

Look at illegal immigrants today. The ones who co-operated with the government by e.g. showing up to court appointments or registering in apps are easier to catch because of that documentation. So they're prioritised. Same with DNA. Yes, you could pass a rule and then slowly collect DNA from all Americans who fly. But it's a lot easier to start with those who have already given it up.

Two common points crop up in these kinds of discussions:

- what if you're part of a minority the government wants to disappear, like the Uyghur in China? DNA is indicative of many minorities. You don't have to commit a crime.

- you don't have to share your DNA, some distant cousin sharing theirs is enough to implicate you (as in the Golden State Killer's arrest). You cannot control your far-flung relatives. You may not have a choice in this kind of privacy. That's what makes DNA unique in relation to other kinds of private data: your cousin's browsing history does not implicate you, DNA however may.

> and they can place me doing it with this DNA

Probably easier to place you with your cell phone location data, or surveillance cameras and face recognition.

You can leave the phone at home and bring the ski mask
> let's play out the worst case scenario and a fascist government comes to power

That's borderline no longer a hypothetical.

maybe this kind of fear mongering is needed to finally make people care about privacy but I doubt most would beyond posting about it on social media for performative outrage.
Partial DNA like 23&me does is so cheap to measure now, something like $20 wholesale and even less if you have very large scales, with a one time requirement to collect. In a decade, whole genome will be similarly cheap, it's $100-$200 wholesale now. Such a hypothetical fascist government can make it a mandatory requirement to be a resident in a country or similar and justify it on crime prevention like they usually like to do.
> Okay but like, I'm not planning on committing a crime and nothing I do now is considered criminal

I genuinely don't know and would like to know: are you being sarcastic? I'm asking because to me it seems like you are, but please correct me if I'm wrong.

No I'm disarming a common quip from people immediately and effectively.
[REDACTED]
I agree

And it is not the state (criminality) that is the biggest risk IMO. The classifying of people into "sheep and goats" is more likely to come from private power. Governments are dangerous, yes. But there are many fewer democratic checks and balances over private power

You're literally restating the same point that the original poster has already made in his comment. You're agreeing with him.

Seems like you just read the first phrase of his comment and immediately went into an adversarial "are you being sarcastic?" loop. Because the point you made is what came immediately after the part you quoted in his original comment:

> [...] but let's play out the worst case scenario and a fascist government comes to power and something I do now is considered criminal and they can place me doing it with this DNA that as the author describes can narrow down if it was me pretty easily.

No, I read his full comment, but I have a problem with "I'm not planning on committing a crime and nothing I do now is considered criminal" which is commonplace these days to say. I laid it out as to what.

So, as for the rest of his comments, such as: "The author also makes this like a weird dichotomy with online tracking, I ALSO care about being tracked on the internet and my personal privacy is pretty important to me in general.", I agree.

I edited my comment as it was deeply misunderstood, and I am not interested in having it derailed even further. Maybe another time.

He is making a hypothetical scenario, and is pre-emptively addressing the bullshit argument "you only care for privacy because you're a criminal/want to commit a crime, innocent people have nothing to hide".
Oh, okay, not sure why I did not get that from his comment. I suppose I should have asked myself "how come I agree with the rest of his comment apart from the first part?".

Because I actually addressed that "have nothing to hide" argument. Oh well!

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