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> We've seen this before in 1983 and 2000. Many companies will fold, and those that don't will take a substantial hit.

Makes sense, but if the negative effect of the bubble popping is largely limited to AI startups and speculators, while the rest of us keep enjoying the benefits of it, then I don't see why the average person should be too concerned about a bubble.

In 2000, cab drivers were recommending tech stocks. I don't see this kindof thing happening today.

> Yeah, these people are full of shit.

I think it's fair to keep LLMs and AGI seperate when we're talking about "AI". LLMs can make a huge impact even if AGI never happens. We're already seeing now it imo.

AI 2027 says:

  - Early 2026: Coding Automation
  - Late 2026: AI Takes Some Jobs
These things are already happening today without AGI.

fc417fc802
> In 2000, cab drivers were recommending tech stocks. I don't see this kindof thing happening today.

Nontechnical acquaintances with little to no financial background have been (rather cluelessly) debating nvidia versus other ML hardware related stocks. I'd say we're in exactly the same territory.

thunky OP
Counter-anecdote: several people I talk to think the only way to use "AI" is via the Google "AI Summary" at the top of search results.

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