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Given the thoroughness of Israel's intelligence on Iran I doubt it would have been moved without detection. Even if they did manage to move it, the moment enrichment starts back up it will just be bombed again. If it looks like a new facility is being built even deeper underground then that will just be bombed before it starts up. Without air defenses Iran doesn't have a lot of options and Gaza has shown putting an enrichment facility in the basement of a school/hospital isn't going to stop a bombing either. I'm not a military strategist but to me it seems like Iran's first priority before anything else is regaining control of their own skies.

swat535
So it turns out dismantling an entire nation's nuclear infrastructure just requires a bit of coordination with foreign intelligence and a couple of well placed airstrikes. Who knew it was that simple?

No protracted negotiations, no international coalitions, no drawn-out sanctions, just precision and decisiveness. A button pressed here, a few planes there, and the problem vanishes. Permanently, of course.

And now, with Iran's nuclear ambitions supposedly neutralized in a single blow, we can all relax. The threat is gone. No strategic aftershocks, no long term consequences, no unintended escalation. Just peace, stability, and a region completely satisfied with the outcome.

One wonders what the last 15 years were for. Bureaucratic inertia? A lack of imagination?

Progress, it seems, is just a matter of revisiting the old playbook with a bit more confidence.

sorcerer-mar
okay I give up! You've aced Poe's test! Is this sarcasm or no?
kapildev
What's a Poe test? Is it related to Edgar Allen Poe? Couldn't find anything with a quick Google search
I think this bit gives it up:

> And now, with Iran's nuclear ambitions supposedly neutralized in a single blow, we can all relax. The threat is gone. No strategic aftershocks, no long term consequences, no unintended escalation. Just peace, stability, and a region completely satisfied with the outcome.

Sounds like sarcasm to me.

Ajedi32
Yeah, other than that paragraph I think it's a perfectly reasonable sentiment.

The threat is obviously not "gone". Just substantially reduced. And we can't relax, we need to be vigilant to make sure they don't rebuild. But this certainly does seem to have been a relatively simple solution to the problem of Iranian nuclear armament.

Diplomacy is of course still a better long-term solution. But even diplomacy is a lot easier when you get to start the negotiations from a position of "No, you can't have nukes, period, regardless of whether you agree to any sort of deal or not."

sorcerer-mar
No, it's really not better to start negotiations from a position of "we may unilaterally withdraw from any agreements you sign and comply with, then bomb you regardless of whether you are pursuing nukes."

This has unambiguously increased the imperative for Iran (and every other country) to acquire its own nuclear deterrent.

sorcerer-mar
Israel needed the US involved more than it needs to destroy any particular equipment. Even if their intelligence indicated it moved, they'd absolutely still tell Trump that he needed to bring the B-2s down on Fordo.

Give the guy a finish line to carry the baton over, even if you already know it's not actually the finish line.

trhway
That is why my bet is that no-fly zone is coming. It is already de-facto there, and just needs official announcement and commitment of resources.
cosmicgadget
Is Israel going to enforce it from the other side of Iraq? Or is the US going to do it from bases in Iran's frenemy territories?
trhway
Of course Israel wouldn't be able to it on its own. I think the 3 US aircraft carrier fleets around will do the job.
cosmicgadget
That would explain the Nimitz heading over there. And answer the question of if there will be additional American involvement.
golemiprague (dead)

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