- popcorncowboy parentI will respectfully take the other side of this bet on polymarket if it ever shows up.
- You'd hear this all the time back when. "Oh you could build Twitter in a weekend". Yes. Also, very no. This mentality is now on agent steroids. But the lesson is the same.
- ...and the more I know you don't know. [On the disappearance of wizards as you age]
- This is the "Wait Calculation" and it's fiendish because there exists only some small, finite window in which it is indeed better to start before the tech is "better" in order to "win" (i.e. get "there" first, wherever "there" is in your scenario).
Here's a nice article about it: https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/the-lazy-tyranny-of-the-wai...
- Tax AI.
- > eventually shaping the future standards of the web and making it de facto impossible to self-host anything
Eventually?
- > He doesnt touch on the shame of it you feel
This is the part people who have never experienced it most overlook. The profound, lived-in shame that comes with being poor, and the damage that does over time.
- Only up to their quality limit though. This is a slightly different concept to a quantity limit (which also exists), but the general (imperfect) idea is that for your "quality level" (i.e. your ability ceiling), the only real knob you can dial is quantity. In practice, quantity seems to be a defining factor for pushing your ability ceiling higher.
- When I checked, these were the top comments. Can't do anything these days ;)
- Menu is accessible but done badly, like navigating blind. - Badly implemented cookie banner (let me opt out or don't use this) - Why build an inferior multi-document interfaces (which are an anti-pattern) - Waste of money - don't devs have better things to do - Neat but runs like a dog. Give me SSG pages, otherwise make it good - Nice website but no-one will use it the way they describe - It's lovely <- followed up by: "I hate you" - Websites like this have ultimately all been massive failures - Awesome, but I have no idea what they do or what their product is - Love it - blah blah blah
- There's a reason the largest advertising company in the world hasn't sanctioned this move.
- > "If it's going to happen it will" - That is quite the defeatist attitude. Society becoming shittier isn’t inevitable
You're right in general, but I don't think that'll save you/us from OP's statement. This is simple economic incentives at play. If AI-coding is even marginally more economically efficient (i.e. more for less) the "old way" will be swept aside at breathtaking pace (as we're seeing). The "from my cold dead hands" hand-coding crowd may be right, but they're a transitional historical footnote. Coding was always blue-collar white-collar work. No-one outside of coders will weep for what was lost.
- > partially-OSS SaaS is in for a rocky road
Agent-in-a-loop gets you remarkably far today already. It's not straightforward to "rip" capability even when you have the code, but we're getting closer by the week to being able to go "Project X has capability Y. Use [$approach] and port this into our project". This HAS to put a fat question mark over the viability of any SaaS that makes their code visible.
- Yes... a docker container...
- Dark forest theory taking root.
- It simply spoofs itself as Claude Code when calling the API. Anthropic will shut this down the second it benefits them to do so. Like much of the gravy train right now, enjoy it while it lasts.
- I can second this cycle. Agentic code AI is an accelerant to this fire that sure looks like it's burning the bottom rungs of the ladder. Game theory suggests anyone already on the ladder needs to chop off as much of the bottom of the ladder as fast as possible. The cycle appears to only be getting.. vicious-er.
- This ends in Idiocracy. The graybeards will phase out, the juniors will become staff level, except.. software will just be "more difficult". No-one really understands how it works, how could they? More importantly WHY should they? The Machine does the code. If The Machine gets it wrong it's not my fault.
The TRUE takeaway here is that as of about 12 months ago, spending time investing in becoming a god-mode dev is not the optimal path for the next phase of whatever we're moving into.
- Aw man :( I too loved the promise of Zed.
Well done I suppose to the Zed founders as they're on the Sequoia gravy train now. But as others have noted this puts an inevitable clock on the enshittification no matter how hard the team crosses their heart and truly believes otherwise (or not, I mean maybe this IS the gameplan).
Hopefully Zedless [0] gets some community steam behind it.
- The Gary Marcus Schtick at this point is to shit on LLM-anything, special extra poop if it's sama-anything. Great, I don't even disagree. But it's hard to read anything he puts up these days as he's become a caricature of the enlightened-LLM-hater to the extent that his work reads like auto-gen "whatever you said but the opposite, and also you suck, I'm Gary Marcus".
- I'm funnier on stage.
- You are clearly not a front-end developer
- I'm legitimately asking what people "should" be building new projects in?
- And the Social Network: https://youtu.be/Rqnt17APIbc?si=ytKruPAWZ9lAlnOz&t=283
- If you really wanna get your blood boiling how about some Doom with HTML checkboxes - https://healeycodes.com/doom-rendered-via-checkboxes
- I get the "earnest, 'authentic', 'responsible' engagement by the CEO", but this post and title is lifted straight out of media-playbook-fails-101. Post a title like this at your peril. The content doesn't "own" the missteps, it writes the epitaph of Deno. All this article does is validate the "reports" of "demise" and unavoidably presents as "doth protest too much". If you insist on engaging with a negative narrative there are more constructive ways to frame it. Don't talk about "committing" to anything, just DO. Ryan, if you do nothing else, think about changing the title. But this entire post should ideally get rewritten. There are some really positive things you're doing. But they're covered in stink.
- Impeccable quote. I suppose the interesting thought experiment here is, what if Babbage is wrong? I don't know the answer here, but (and go with the thought experiment) what if model collapse wasn't an inevitable outcome of feeding the snake its own tail.
- > From now on, all employees will be monitored in order to replace them.
This is going on a t-shirt.
- Clearly you are unfamiliar with the process. Step 1, open source project. Step 2. Step 3, profit.
- Or perhaps even racketeering. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racketeering