3
points
newyankee
Joined 1,246 karma
- Some day while the dreaded soc* or comm* words have been abandoned, a better description might come along to account for the fact that in fact while the system is positive sum, reality can still seem zero sum to a large portion and there is only so much you can stifle the same human creativity, energy and desire to sustain themselves.
- I worked in a job a decade back where I was the only tech guy and had a special 128 GB RAM machine. All the 'Big data' for the team was done by me using R tidyverse, data.table and few libraries and they thought of it as magic as there were few tech people there.
Still feel a lot of enterprises and industries looked over its capabilities then.
With LLMs the challenge of R syntax is a little easier for data analysts to climb, especially the new ones.
- there is enough proof that they had a chatbot internally which was quite competitive but was not pushed through for all these fears, it seems they were always confident that they could catch up and scaling laws were their internal defense.
The question now though is neither might have expected Chinese labs to catch up so fast.
- but didn't Chinese already surpass the rest of the world in Solar, batteries, EVs among other things ?
- Yet tbh if the US industry had not moved ahead and created the race with FOMO it would not had been easier for Chinese strategy to work either.
The nature of the race may change as yet though, and I am unsure if the devil is in the details, as in very specific edge cases that will work only with frontier models ?
- That is amazing if they can do all of this at < 10 % of the cost of frontier labs. Off course they work in the shadows of the great work done in the frontier labs and shared, but there is some exceptional high speed execution happening behind the scenes that shows this is clearly a race, but a race where China is happy to be #2 as long as the gap is not significant and the costs are reasonable
- Fair, but the 75% margins can be reduced to 25% with healthy competition. The lack of competition in the frontier chips space was always the bottleneck to commoditization of computation, if such a thing is even possible
- Sometimes I wonder who the rational individuals at the other end of these deals are and what makes them so confident. I always assume they have something that general public cannot deduce from public statements
- May be in an AGI world, basic housing might actually be a part of UBI with some strict conditions, though not sure who will take the first step.
- Have most Western countries mostly given up on supply side policies for housing price stablisation as an option ? Odd given how much construction tech has improved.
- Just like the example of US healthcare yesterday where someone successfully negotiated cash rate of 194k to 33k I do not think it will be scaleable as hospitals will push back with new regulations or rules.
- also because it is modular which really works for the Global south, it can be taken to demand centers and demand adjusted to the supply to a small extent (e.g. irrigation pumps)
- It is even funnier when this argument comes from Canadians, Australians and some New Zealanders as these are some of the more open and shut cases while other countries can be argued to be on some spectrum of foreign vs native depending on the time scales considered.
Generally it is framed to meant that we are the people who captured and built these countries and they belong to our 'culture'
- I mean you scratch a lot of commentators on colonialism anywhere in the West and deep enough you will find an apologist.
While there might be structural issues in Haiti, a colonial apologist starts with simplified one sided history -> The colonizers civilized the country -> the people deserved it -> The better side won, survival of the fittest
What I have seen is that unlike the Star Trek post scarcity world visions, all discussions are stuck at some sort of national or ethnic identities at one end or a very simplified oppressed vs oppressor ideology at the other end which prevents discussing many ideologies based on their teachings through a modern civilized lens.
It does not look like the divisions would ever improve because we are now moving into a post labor world and the asymmetry is probably a feature that defines geopolitical clout and power and no one has the incentive to think bigger.
- Essentially countries that were developed prior to 1990 or so , although South Korea is a tricky case today going by this definition, as are Taiwan, Hongkong and Singapore
- If one keeps going down the rabbit hole, one might infer that the way our cities are designed is entirely wrong but probably with 60-70 year of invested capital difficult to change fast enough
- Haha, it reminded me 20+ years back when I was a kid travelling by train in India where the ticket dispenser did not give me 8 Rs back on a 152 Rs ticket when I paid 160, sounds small but is a big deal for poor. Tangential but that is one thing I really thank digital payments and digitization of ticket dispensing for.
- probably everyone realises this and wants to make away with as much as they can before the ultimate rugpull
This is one place where I think by 2030 a clear no of options will be established.