4
points
gweinberg
Joined 1,827 karma
- gweinberg parentCan't we just leapfrog to IPv7? or 8 for that matter?
- Are you seriously saying that, because a point distribution may well make sense if the point in question is zero (or 1) other points are plausible also? Srsly?
The nonsense isn't just that they're assuming a point probability, it's that, conditional on that point probability not being true, there's only a 2% chance that theta is .5 += .01. Whereas the actual a priori probability is more like 99.99%.
- I don't understand why anyone thinks self-reported happiness scores mean anything at all. I don't see how they possibly could. If someone says he's a 10 on his personal scale I guess that means he can't imagine being much happier, but I don't see how that means he's particularly happy.
- I read the page on Lindsey's paradox, and it's astonishing bullshit. It's well known that with sufficiently insane priors you can come up with stupid conclusions. The page asserts that a Bayesian would accept as reasonable priors that it's equally likely that the probability of child being born male is precisely 0.5 as it is that it has some other value, and also that if it has some other value that all values in the interval from zero to one are equally likely. But nobody on God's green earth would accept those as reasonable values, least of all a Bayesian. A Bayesian would say there's zero chance of it being precisely 0.5, but it is almost certainly really close to 0.5, just like a normal human being would.
- Yeah, it may seem like a "better" (because stronger) conclusion to the author that if you have more pigeons than pigeonholes you must have more than one pigeon in a hole even if negative or irrational numbers of pigeons. But you're pretty much only invoking the pigeonhole principle in discrete math, where "more than one" means "at least 2".
- I don;t understand why people have any respect at all for Searle's"argument", it's just a bare assertion "machines's can't think", combined with some cheap misdirection. Can anyoneone argue that having Chinese characters instead of bits going in and out is something other than misdirection? Can anyone argue that having a human being acting like a cpu instead of having an actual cpu is something other than cheap misdorection?
- Phish has a helpful song explaining how to deal with laser ahrassment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2YpLTljxq6M&list=RD2YpLTljxq...