7
points
baby-yoda
Joined 290 karma
- Great point - I never looked into the specific calculation but this makes complete sense as you explain it. Thanks.
- You're right - I'm so used to looking at the probabilities waterfall diagram where there's always some percent for status quo I glanced right over it not being there.
In the time since I originally posted that the 400-425 basis point level has dipped another 2%, with that amount going towards a 50 basis point cut. Very muddy waters indeed.
Powell has been adamant about fighting inflation so I struggle to understand how the market gives a zero percent chance of status quo.
- 90% expected probability of a cut at the moment, down from 96% a week ago. A surprise no-cut would send a shock to the market IMO.
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch...
- The company accused of being involved in collusion is RealPage, they have a local market analytics platform which shares rental information between landlords.
https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-s...
- > There is similarly little discussion on the origins of peer review and impact factors and journals, it's just taken as the obvious hallmark and basis of good science.
Pioneered and exploited by Robert Maxwell (father of the infamous Ghislaine). Good summary below; was an all around eye-opening revelation for me.
https://thetaper.library.virginia.edu/big%20deal/2019/04/26/...
- Yes that's correct, I unfortunately had to summarize the title to fit the character limit.
- 31 points
- 5 points
- Puerto Rico (yes not a state) has active coffee farms.
- This seems to support a report from 6 months ago: https://www.masseyeandear.org/news/press-releases/2024/07/pr...
- 3 points
- After disabling Apple Intelligence I'm no longer able to use CarPlay with a message saying Siri needs to be enabled. It doesn't appear Siri is available independent of Apple Intelligence, is that correct? Any way to enable Apple Intelligence exclusively for CarPlay?
- I believe the post you replied to is referring to the total share of Federal income taxes collected paid by the percentile of returns.
i.e. the top 1% of tax filers by income paid nearly 50% of all taxes collected.
This is accurate per the latest statistics released by the IRS, for tax year 2021; the top 1% of returns paid 45.78% of all taxes collected.
https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-individual-stat...
- IMO "No free lunch" is not anti-solution at all, on the contrary its a problem solving (engineering?) tenet that simply acknowledges there are always trade offs and constraints. Just like any software engineering project can't be expected to do everything for all people with no cost.
The "magic pill of health" aura that surrounds these new drugs is clearly opaque in terms of what the trade offs are, partly because its still way too early to know.
Back to my original post, there is some evidence of risk of going blind as a result from taking Ozempic et al. Might be worth the risk for some, even many. I'm fully in support of options and letting people make informed choices. Informed being the key word here. It will take time for things to shake out, I do hope there is a net positive since we are talking about millions of people after all.
- From the article:
"The researchers compared patients who had received prescriptions for semaglutide compared to those taking other diabetes or weight loss drugs. Then, they analyzed the rate of NAION diagnoses in the groups, which revealed the significant risk increases."
I don't interpret it at all as you do - if they're taking "other diabetes or weight loss drugs" they're clearly not part of the "healthy population".
- No such thing as free lunch. Up to the individual to decide whats worse but the "miracle cure" positioning these drugs are enjoying in popular media is troubling.
https://www.masseyeandear.org/news/press-releases/2024/07/pr...
- > And it requiring to be on the same Apple ID was less than ideal...
Similar experience, I tried to get Sidecar working a while ago via Lightning->USB cable. After realizing the Apple ID was a requirement I gave up. Bought an inexpensive 13" HiDPI portable display on Amazon, plugged it in and I've been happy ever since. Sure, its another device to bring around but its thin & light and a one cable solution. It just works...
- Inching ever closer to OCP taking over NYPD
Thinking about an LLM use case, not needing a query language should remove translation risk I'd assume?