1. arctic-true Jan 1, 2026 parent

   Interesting, thank you for that. I’d be curious to see the data for 2025. I was basing my take off Google trends data - the kind of person who goes to ChatGPT by googling “chatGPT” seems to be using it less in the summer.
2. arctic-true Jan 1, 2026 parent

   Usage plunges on the weekends and during the summer, suggesting that a significant portion of users are students using ChatGPT for free or at heavily subsidized rates to do homework (i.e., extremely basic work that is extraordinarily well-represented in the training data). That usage will almost certainly never be monetizable, and it suggests nothing about the trajectory of the technology’s capability or popularity. I suspect ChatGPT, in particular, will see its usage slip considerably as the education system (hopefully) adapts.
3. arctic-true Dec 19, 2025 parent

   Cheaper lawyers can’t afford to pay for as many research librarians, paralegals, junior attorneys, writing consultants, jury consultants, etc. LLMs may level the playing field in this regard. But of course, the expensive lawyer might be able to pay for more tokens.
4. arctic-true Dec 19, 2025 parent

   When I was thinking about law school the big panic was about e-discovery tools: we wouldn’t need many lawyers anymore since we didn’t need to rifle through boxes of physical paper anymore! What happened instead was that, with the burden of collecting documents significantly reduced, we were able to start looking for needles in much bigger haystacks.
5. arctic-true Dec 19, 2025 parent

   Someone publishes this story every 3 months. One more gullible senior attorney getting on the hype train is not news. LLMs are very, very, very good at making words look pretty, which has always been a cherished talent that lawyers liked to think only they possessed. But even before LLMs, you wouldn’t pay a lawyer much if all you needed them to do was to write a brief with no investigation, discovery, or motion practice involved. Grok’s output looks like great lawyering because it’s the product of great lawyering - great lawyering which enabled this source to spoon-feed the facts and the law to Grok, which makes this more like a law school writing assignment than actual legal work.

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