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andrewmutz
Joined 3,410 karma
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/andrewmutz; my proof: https://keybase.io/andrewmutz/sigs/5elyrq8c_kX2VjZqNmynXisNu6qmf9VQxW4vQV8CfIs ]

  1. Completely agree with this. I got to work closely with an IBM fellow one summer and I was impressed by his willingness to ask "dumb questions" in meetings. Sometimes he was just out of the loop but more often he was just questioning some of the assumptions that others in the room had left unquestioned.
  2. I agree completely. I think the main difference is that it's important for your average people to become educated on topics by experts. Thats the part that is missing today.
  3. Experts post on social media all the time, but their voices are not given any weight beyond that of people who aren't experts on the topic.

    RFK jr running HHS is the wave of the future. Unfortunately, we will continue to have non-experts who generate high engagement content running policy decisions more and more in the future.

  4. I agree with you that my words are unpopular. Populism is popular.

    Government and economics is complicated, so it's not that crazy to suggest that your average person doesn't understand it very well. The medical analog of economic populism is antivax and free birth content. Super popular online, but leads to bad outcomes.

  5. These days the policy positions of each party are hashed out on social media by non-experts. For both the democrats and the republicans, instead of any sort of research or experts driving public policy decisions, it's instead the things that resonate with your average person's feelings as they scroll through their feed and get engagement.

    The end result is of course populism. Each election cycle gets us closer to the policy positions of the Republicans being "Immigrants are bad" and Democrats being "Billionaires are bad".

    We know where populism leads, and we've seen it for decades in south america. In a few decades, we will get to choose between the populist far left and the populist far right. Policy will get crazier and crazier and measurable societal outcomes will stagnate and perhaps go backwards.

    This will continue as long as social media is the primary form of entertainment in the US.

  6. Needing to upgrade a library everywhere isn’t necessarily a sign of inappropriate coupling.

    For example, a library with a security vulnerability would need to be upgraded everywhere regardless of how well you’ve designed your system.

    In that example the monolith is much easier to work with.

  7. I don't think we should allow the government to ban political agitation, but I do think its fine to allow the government to ban children using social media
  8. Social media is full of extremist and untrue content of all types. Antivax or free birth content are just two small examples of viral content that is untrue and kills people. It has a very negative effect on adults, and adults at least have brains that are fully-developed.

    Exposing kids to the firehose of misinformation on social media just poisons their brains. Political agitation is mostly political misinformation. Even among the causes online that I agree with, most of the content online is deeply biased, one-sided or inaccurate.

  9. Someone really needs to do a meta-analysis of these results because a paper from a few years ago showed that members of congress underperform at stock picking:

    https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26975/w269...

    Both papers could be true if congresspeople are worse than the public at picking stocks, but congressional leaders are just better than the average congressperson

  10. They could do that: hire juniors, lose money while you train them, and give them aggressive raises. Or they could just do what they are doing: skip the juniors and just hire the people who've got experience.
  11. It's not helping that in the last 10 years a culture of job-hopping has taken over the tech industry. Average tenure at tech companies is often ~2 years and after that people job hop to increase compensation.

    It's clear why people do it (more pay) but it sets up bad incentives for the companies. Why would a company invest money in growing the technical skill set of an employee, just to have them leave as soon as they can get a better offer?

  12. People only want privacy if it doesn’t come at the cost of a good product. It’s not enough on its own.
  13. Why is it a societal issue rather than just a parenting issue? Just don't let your kids play roblox. It's what I do and it works fine.
  14. I use bazzite linux for gaming full time and can't say enough good things about it. You don't need to do anything at all to maintain it. Every Windows game I've ever tried just works perfectly out of the box. Sometimes I will see a warning telling me that a certain game is not certified for a good experience by Steam, and it all just works perfect anyway.

    When I was running Windows on the same machine I was constantly trying to diagnose why things stopped working, and downloading drivers.

    Perhaps my experience with Windows was worse than average, I don't know. But from my perspective there is zero reason not to run Linux full time for gaming.

  15. The web is extremely user-hostile. The necessity of ad blockers is just one example of this. Social Media feed algorithms that maximize engagement at the cost of mental health and political unrest are another

    I think there is a ton of potential for having an LLM bundled with the browser and working on behalf of the user to make the web a better place. Imagine being able to use natural language to tell the browser to always do things like "don't show me search engine results that are corporate SEO blogspam" or "Don't show me any social media content if its about politics".

  16. There is a wide variety of form factors available in the android ecosystem. Whether or not they fit your definition of "decent" just depends on how much you prioritize size:

    https://www.samsung.com/us/smartphones/galaxy-z-flip7/

    https://www.unihertz.com/products/jelly-max

  17. It's a poor example because laser headlights don't have network effects.
  18. Does Apple allow non-Apple devices to send and receive messages from the iMessage network? Under any conditions?
  19. If Apple didn't run such a closed ecosystem, other hardware vendors would step in and be happy to sell a form factor that 3% of the market uses.

    I keep trying to use Andriod to get more choice on form factor, but one thing always brings me back to an iPhone: texting incompatibility. Apple has me locked into their ecosystem because I can't get a decent quality video texted to me.

    As an Apple fan since the 90s who remembers how Microsoft abused its market dominance for decades, it's particularly ironic that Apple continues to use this technique against other companies.

  20. Steven Blank (the author) is a respected member of the startup community and is not partisan. He's been working with the defense department for 10 years (across both administrations) to modernize the way the military buys technology.

    His work to create the "hacking for defense" project to modernize things is not at all like DOGE and preceeds it by many years

    https://www.h4d.us/

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