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Vecr
Joined 1,439 karma

  1. > something about HOW it talked felt inherently smart

    The thing was huge. They were training the thing to be GPT5, before they figured out their userbase to too large to be served something that big.

  2. Principles of Vitrification (Fahy PDF linked) p. 48 many practitioners think they have vitrified when they have not p. 45 volume changes of vitrifying agents, possibly in a way that avoids detection (very small scale?).

    Covers the second term, "freezing" (quibble quibble) speed and delays in the procedure cover the first.

    Your team seems not to be trying to maintain either normally solid/fluid tissue maintaining recoverable gradients or vitrification through an entire cycle below the triple point (with just removable or bio-compatible vitrifying mixtures) so your "goal" might be easier. Is the future AI just going to say you didn't do well enough even if you meet your "goal"?

    On the other hand if there's never any point in the cycle where any volume is not either recoverable to health or vitrified, all the AI can say is that cryonics doesn't work period.

  3. This is optimistic, I see "The cryonics people make a mistake in freezing you (how do we know they don't make lots of mistakes?)"[0] and "The current cryonics process is insufficient to preserve everything"[0] resulting of a product 10% already, seemingly matching the questionnaire as well as possible. They say "under ideal conditions" in the survey, so maybe that rules out cracking of brain tissue or ice growth, but that's not the number practitioners want to know about.

    [0]: https://www.jefftk.com/p/breaking-down-cryonics-probabilitie... “Principles of Cryopreservation by Vitrification” https://gwern.net/doc/biology/2015-fahy.pdf

  4. All you would get is even more insurance overhead and even higher nominal prices. People who pay cover people who don't, and doctors will get insurance to pay for all their failures.
  5. The coolers get so heavy that they don't make good contact if your motherboard is not horizontal. For mainstream CPUs that's why a cheap closed loop cooler is better.
  6. Propaganda is often not false, or at least not fully false.
  7. Yes. Don't branch on key or in-clear data. Otherwise, ok.

    If a user is doing onion wrapping, they don't want you to branch on the code data either.

  8. How long are the public keys? >160 bits and that's futile.
  9. You can run a software TPM if you browse within a VM.
  10. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nolo_contendere There you still have booleans, just two of them instead of one.
  11. Did an LLM convince you to put in the anthropic argument entry in the galaxy brained section? Claude Opus?

    https://gwern.net/blog/2025/conference-size

  12. If it had a finite size it would be computable.
  13. There's nothing on here, not even pre-registration of studies, let alone what J. D. Vance brought up about the replication crisis.

    https://archive.is/meJC7

  14. The author says he has an about average IQ, but that's impressive considering he apparently almost entirely failed several component tests.
  15. > the optimum is a bit thicker than our guidance suggests

    That's probably confounded. Anything over a BMI of 23 better be an increasing proportion of muscle, and even then there's a point that the stress on the heart isn't worth it.

    Almost every physical and mental heath condition does bad things to nutrition and internal energy stores, even if only at a diet level.

    It's hard to see since so many people are overweight or obese to start with, but the overall correlation goes that way enough to cause confounding.

  16. Have you ever seen an emoulument fly into a skyscraper?

    How much does it cost to do a full forensic teardown of a plane's control systems, and everything attached to them?

  17. Standard X-rays aren't as big a dose. Totaling up all the mammograms a woman would generally get and that should still be less than a single chest CT.
  18. Pedantic note: Pandora was the woman who opened the box. Pandora was not in the box. The problems of the world were, along with hope. Maybe you're mixing the story with the phrase "the cat's out of the box" ?
  19. Not very good. The writing is okay, but walking away isn't better than deluding yourself with justification. Yes I get it's all metaphor, but that doesn't make it better.

    If you actually read the thing, within the literal story it never says there's actually anywhere better, or any better place could exist.

  20. An IQ of 300 is impossible, because that's 13.333... standard deviations above the norm's average. Can't norm that.
  21. I don't see how that could provide an alternative to Novikov fixpoints. You can't control the initial conditions well enough, so the Novikov fixpoint you get is one where no observable time travel has ever occurred.

    I think you're getting too attached to fixpoints and worldlines, it would be better to think through the actual computer program the simulation uses.

  22. It's not proof. And that's not what worldlines are. It's a story trope that that is how time travel consistency works, where "observable details" are things that the character or audience could notice, instead of being almost everything that's not microscopic.
  23. If you aren't joking, that will filter most humans.
  24. 6? That can't be right. I don't know how big a GCU is, so the scale could be up to 1 OOM off, but a full redirection of all simulation capacity should let it integrate out further than that.
  25. It's a dark pool.
  26. You need some. Otherwise you would need to re-engineer for a different anti-knock. Tetraethyllead is unusable in modern cars.
  27. An IQ of 125 isn't low by any standard.
  28. Does it matter? If the system does something, the system does something.

    https://www.hackerneue.com/item?id=42625158

  29. That's too hard. Chew on raw carrots.
  30. It didn't immunize Eliezer Yudkowsky, and he wrote Markov chain fictional characters. Everyone who looked up AI enough times knew about ELIZA.

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