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First examine your post. Can you create a 3D avatar with legs that can walk and talk?

If not, then for this area you’ve been steam rolled.

Anyway main point is, you’re looking at the hype headlines which are ludicrous. Where most optimists come from is that they are using it in the daily to code. To them it’s right in front of their eyes.

I’m not sure what your experience is but my opinion on AI doesn’t come from speculation. It comes from on the ground experience on how AI currently has changed my job role completely. If I hold the technology to be fixed and to not improve into the future then my point still stands. I’m not speculating. Most AI optimists aren’t speculating.

The current on the ground performance is what’s causing the divide. Some people have seen it fully others only have a rudimentary trial.


I have a hard time trusting the judgement of someone writing this:

> I no longer write code. I’ve been a swe for over a decade. AI writes all my code following my instructions. My code output is now expected to be 5x what it was before because we are now augmented by AI. All my coworkers use AI. We don’t use ChatGPT we use anthropic. If I didn’t use AI I would be fired for being too slow.

https://www.hackerneue.com/item?id=46175628

You should drop the prejudice and focus to be aware of the situation. This is happening all over the world, most people who have crossed this bridge just don’t share, just like they don’t share that they’ve brushed their teeth this morning.
I think I'll keep defaulting to critical thinking rather than some kinda pseudo-religious "crossing the bridge" talk.
Just a metaphore - used to code by hand, now he doesn't, but still produces software. Keep religion out of this.
No one shrugs off 5x like brushing one's teeth in the morning. That makes no sense.
Explain to me why my judgement is flawed. What I’m saying is true.
Because, among other claims, "5x now or you're fired!" is completely ridiculous.
Bro no one said 5x now or your fired that’s your own imagination adding flavor to it.

It’s obvious to anyone if your output is 5x less than everyone else you will eventually be let go. There’s no paradigm shift where the boss suddenly announced that. But the underlying unsaid expectation is obvious given what everyone is doing.

What happened was this, a couple new hires and some current employees started were using AI. There output was magnified and they were not only having more output but they were deploying code outside their areas of expertise doing dev ops, infra, backend and frontend.

This spread and within months everyone in the company was doing it. The boss can now throw a frontend job to a backend developer and now expect completion in a day or less. This isn’t every task but such output for the majority of tasks it’s normal.

If you’re not meeting that norm it’s blindingly obvious. The boss doesn’t need to announce anything when everyone is faster. There was no deliberate culture shift where the boss announced it. The closest equivalent is the boss hiring a 10x engineer to work alongside you and you have to scramble to catch up. The difference is now we know exactly what is making each engineer 10x and we can use that tool to also operate at that level.

Critical thinking my ass. You’re just labeling and assuming things with your premeditated subconscious bias. If anything it’s your perspective that is religious.

> they were deploying code outside their areas of expertise doing dev ops, infra, backend and frontend.

> The boss can now throw a frontend job to a backend developer and now expect completion in a day or less.

Right. So essentially vibe coding in unknown domains, sounds great. Truly professional.

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