jeltz parent
No, because to do that and not ruin myself I need to know roughly when the double will burst. Just knowing it is a bubble is not enough.
Exactly. I shorted Sears in 2005 when Lampert took over. I knew he was going to drive that company into the ground.
Sears went bankrupt in 2018. It took a long time for the market to catch on.
Most investors can time this aspect of the market accurately enough. It's tough for these people to stand by and watch profit being left on the table for a year or two, though. So they get back in, seeing how long they can leave their hand on the got plate.
Myself, I made the decision to go to cash a while ago, right before the recent AI pullback. Things were going great for a week until I started seeing all that money go unclaimed. I get back in, and the pullback I predicted happens. It was my own conscious decision to look past the gorilla in the room to get more free treats. I'll be fine but this is a good anecdote for how these things unfold.
It is not at all true that "Most investors can time this aspect of the market". This is laughably, absurdly, wrong - as if most people could predict the future. Here's a little advice I sincerely pray you accept : don't trade options.