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>I suspect that the majority of the people who claim that these tools are making them more productive are simply skipping these tasks altogether, or they never cared to do them in the first place.

I think this follows a larger pattern of AI. It helps someone with enough maturity to not rely on it too blindly and enough foresight to know they still need to grow their own skills, but does well enough that those looking for an easy or quick answer is now given that tool that lets them skip doing more of the hard work. It empowers seniors (developer or senior level in unrelated fields) but traps juniors. Same as using AI to solve a math problem. Is the student verifying their own solution against the AI's, or copying and pasting while thinking they are learning by doing so (or even recognizing their aren't but not worrying about it since the AI can handle it and not realizing how this will trap them on ever harder problems in the future).

>...but rather a grim outlook that it's only going to get worse. The industry will continue to be flooded by software developers...

I somewhat agree, but even more grim, I think we are looking at this across many more fields than just software development. The way companies make use of this and the market forces at the corporate level might be different, but it is also impacting education and that alone should be enough to negatively impact other areas.


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