Unironically, your comment mirrors my opinion as of last month.
Since then I've given it another try last week and was quite literally mind blown how much it improved in the context of Vibe coding (Claude code). It actually improved so much that I thought "I would like to try that on my production codebase", (mostly because I want if to fail, because that's my job ffs) but alas - that's not allowed at my dayjob.
From the limited experience I could gather over the last week as a software dev with over 10 yrs of experience (along with another 5-10 doing it as a hobby before employment) I can say that I expect our industry to get absolutely destroyed within the next 5 yrs.
The skill ceiling for devs is going to get mostly squashed for 90% of devs, this will inevitably destroy our collective bargaining positions. Including for the last 10%, because the competition around these positions will be even more fierce.
It's already starting, even if it's currently very misguided and mostly down to short-sightedness.
But considering the trajectory and looking at how naive current llms coding tools are... Once the industry adjusts and better tooling is pioneered... it's gonna get brutal.
And most certainly not limited to software engineering. Pretty much all desk jobs will get hemorrhaged as soon as a llm-player basically replaces SAP with entirely new tooling.
Frankly, I expect this to go bad, very very quickly. But I'm still hoping for a good ending.
Since then I've given it another try last week and was quite literally mind blown how much it improved in the context of Vibe coding (Claude code). It actually improved so much that I thought "I would like to try that on my production codebase", (mostly because I want if to fail, because that's my job ffs) but alas - that's not allowed at my dayjob.
From the limited experience I could gather over the last week as a software dev with over 10 yrs of experience (along with another 5-10 doing it as a hobby before employment) I can say that I expect our industry to get absolutely destroyed within the next 5 yrs.
The skill ceiling for devs is going to get mostly squashed for 90% of devs, this will inevitably destroy our collective bargaining positions. Including for the last 10%, because the competition around these positions will be even more fierce.
It's already starting, even if it's currently very misguided and mostly down to short-sightedness.
But considering the trajectory and looking at how naive current llms coding tools are... Once the industry adjusts and better tooling is pioneered... it's gonna get brutal.
And most certainly not limited to software engineering. Pretty much all desk jobs will get hemorrhaged as soon as a llm-player basically replaces SAP with entirely new tooling.
Frankly, I expect this to go bad, very very quickly. But I'm still hoping for a good ending.