> Machine translation is a great example. It's also where I expect AI coding assistants to land. A useful tool, but not some magical thing that is going to completely replace actual professionals.

I can say from experience that machine translation is light years ahead of 15 years ago. When I started studying Japanese 15 years ago, Google Translate (and any other free translator) was absolutely awful. It was so bad, that it struggled to translate basic sentences into reasonable native-level Japanese. Fast forward to today, it is stunning how good is Google Translate. From time to time, I even learn about newspeak (slang) from Google Translate. If I am writing a letter, I regularly use it to "fine-tune" my Japanese. To be clear: My Japanese is far from native-level, but I can put full, complex sentences into Google Translate (I recommend to view "both directions"), and I get a reasonable, native-sounding translation. I have tested the outputs with multiple native speakers and they agree: "It is imperfect, but excellent; the meaning is clear."

In the last few years, using only my primitive knowledge of Japanese (and Chinese -- which helps a lot with reading/writing), I have been able to fill out complex legal and tax documents using my knowledge of Japanese and the help of Google Translate. When I walk into a gov't office as the only non-Asian person, I still get a double take, but then they review my slightly-less-than-perfect submission, and proceed without issue. (Hat tip to all of the Japanese civil servants who have diligently served me over the years.)

Hot take: Except for contracts and other legal documents, "actual professionals" (translators) is a dead career at this point.