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That's what it says in the original post. It is also non-sensical. If the probability is 10% (p=0.1), and the number of systems is 11 (n=11), then you get 1/(1 - 11*0.1) which is -10.

rocqua OP
I tried working this out, but I think the original was correct.

The cases where the answer is negative correspond to a 'runaway scenario' where every change is expected to cause more than 1 extra change. So the answer is 'nonsensical' (because that is indeed where the formula for geometric series no longer works) but the true answer is infinity.

d4rkn0d3z
Correct!
d4rkn0d3z
Valid for n*p < 1, geometric series convergence, I should have mentioned.

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