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Every single person I know who pays for an LLM is a developer who pays for Claude because of coding ability

Most people you know probably also voted for the Democratic candidate. Selection bias especially on HN is strong.
I pay for both Claude and Chatgpt, chatgpt codes better, especially the slow version.
Every single business I know that pays for LLMs (on the order of tens of thousands of individual ChatGPT subscriptions) pay for whatever the top model is in their general cloud of choice with next to no elasticity. e.g. a company already committed to Azure will use the Azure OpenAI models and a customer already commited to AWS will use Claude.

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