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I don't think you can assume that non-covid-19 causes should be lower than previous years. For example, the main cause of deaths in normal years is cardiac problems. If Covid-19 is discouraging people from seeking help, and especially from going to the emergency room when they they think something might just possibly be wrong, then you can get a big increase in cardiac deaths.

> I don't think you can assume that non-covid-19 causes should be lower than previous years.

Sure, I agree that it's very uncertain.

However, if that's the case, then that just furthers my point, because it means that Sweden is overreporting covid-19 cases, and is actually doing even better than official stats say they are.

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